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Kolb
2004-11-21 10:33
According to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, the Cubs have asked about Brewers closer Danny Kolb. The Chicago Cubs, among others, have asked about the availability of closer Dan Kolb, a Boras client who is arbitration-eligible.A couple days ago I had a few brief comments on Kolb. My general impression was slightly favorable: despite having a poor strikeout rate, I thought his groundball-o-matic pitching strategy was a point in his favor. I also noted that Kolb's control was only "marginally good", figuring that the high walk rates of both 2002 and 2003 weren't entirely cancelled out by the good rate of 2004. However, this sudden improvement in control (and lowering of his strikeout rate) does seem to have been a conscious decision made by Kolb and his pitching coach. From a Journal Sentinel article around midseason: Changing his pitching style dramatically, Kolb began clicking off saves with regularity. Instead of trying to blow away hitters with his fastball as in the past, Kolb took lessons from pitching coach Mike Maddux and began taking something off his pitches.I'm not enamored with Kolb, but I also certainly wouldn't be Neifi Perez Mad if he were acquired at a reasonable price. All-Baseball's historian and analyst extraordinaire Rich Lederer (you should make his Weekend Beat a regular stop) chimes in with an email on the subject of Kolb: What is up with Hendry's desire to get Dan Kolb?Rich makes some great points, taking a bit of wind out of any Get Kolb! campaigns. I had known Kolb was more effective in the first half, but I hadn't really realized the severity of his second half decline. There's a worry that after half a year of surprising batters with his new strategy (slow it down and get it over), Kolb was perhaps unable to stay ahead of the curve in the second half. I think Rich's final point, though, is the most important. Teams too often spend a little bit too much on a gaggle of mediocrities, when the collective money would have been spent better on a true impact player. The Giants were a great example of this last year--spending oodles of cash on second-tier players instead of going after Vlad Guerrerro. More often than not, a "stars and scrubs" strategy will work: spend on top players and fill in remaining holes with less expensive talent. The alternate, perhaps, is to become the Washington Ex-Expos, and realize at the end of the offseason that you could've had a Beltran or Magglio or Drew... but instead have a whole bunch of Vinny Castillas and Christian Guzmans.
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